1 in 100 pen blank contest

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skiprat

Passed Away Mar 22, 2022
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Joined
Oct 19, 2006
Messages
7,812
Location
In a Skip in Wales
Great Idea, but the problem is of course the third prize.
If you choose 1 or 100, you will always have a 50% chance of winning.
Every other number only has a 1% chance:D

I'll have 1 as well[}:)]
 

Randy_

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Joined
Nov 29, 2004
Messages
5,701
Location
Dallas suburb, Texas, USA.
Originally posted by skiprat

.....If you choose 1 or 100, you will always have a 50% chance of winning.....

Your analysis is not quite correct. While it is true that the numbers 1 and 100 each have a 50% chance of winning, that doesn't mean that the "owner" of either of those has a 50% chance of winning. As I understand the rules more than one pereson can select a given number and should that number win, I assume a random selection would be made from all of the folks who chose the number. Therefore, it is quite possible that the chances of winning with either of those two numbers is a lot less than 50%.
 

chitswood

Member
Joined
Mar 28, 2006
Messages
1,008
Location
St peters - by St Louis, MO, USA.
Originally posted by skiprat

Great Idea, but the problem is of course the third prize.
If you choose 1 or 100, you will always have a 50% chance of winning.
Every other number only has a 1% chance:D

I'll have 1 as well[}:)]
Sure, but I resolve the ties with another number game.
And the prizes are different too, if you hit the number harder to guess, I'll give you an exceptionally larger prize;)
 

beamer

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2006
Messages
341
Location
Sacramento, CA, USA.
Originally posted by Randy_

Originally posted by skiprat

.....If you choose 1 or 100, you will always have a 50% chance of winning.....

Your analysis is not quite correct. While it is true that the numbers 1 and 100 each have a 50% chance of winning, that doesn't mean that the "owner" of either of those has a 50% chance of winning. As I understand the rules more than one pereson can select a given number and should that number win, I assume a random selection would be made from all of the folks who chose the number. Therefore, it is quite possible that the chances of winning with either of those two numbers is a lot less than 50%.

But notice Randy hasn't changed HIS selection, yet :D
 
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